The model
We do not start from the juice.
DraftKings and FanDuel are books. Prime Time Grid baseball is the board. A line is a consensus of money. A name on this Grid is a collision of facts the money is slow to price: a bat that is 14-for-32, a park that carries to right, wind out at 12, a nine that is actually posted. That is the work.
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Last-ten × the arm
Last ten, not the season page. A .220 on the year who is 12-for-28 is a different bat than a .300 who is 3-for-30. Same for arms — recent hits allowed, not a March ERA. A named arm is a condition. It is not a sit and not a smash.
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The park grows the bat
The building grows a bat that is already hitting. It does not write the first name. Coors three nights went nine, eight, and three. Great American grew a hot nine against an arm that was getting hit. Last-ten × the arm first — then the yard adds. Park is carry, not an over.
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The weather
Wind, temperature, and precip on this slate. Wind out at 14 in a bandbox is a power night. Wind in and 48° is a contact-and-K night. Indoor parks skip the forecast and keep the roof.
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Who is actually playing
Posted and expected lineups, plus the IL. Bench names do not make the board. Once they come out of the box, they drop from remaining ranks so you are not staring at a finished at-bat.
Hits, homers, steals, strikeouts, and matchups all run the same stack: last-ten, the arm, then the park grows the bat. Projected scores are ours. They are not a spread and they are not a total you should treat as a posted number. The day’s tape — remaining, live, final — sits on the ledger so the model is looking at who is still in the nine, not the pregame card.
Questions
Is there one price for every grid?
Yes. The house is $149 a month and it opens every grid, including college and Polymarket. The posted price moves to $199 a month as the desks keep getting built. A house started at $149 stays at $149 while that PayPal stays on. It is one month at a time. A single sport is still $10 a week and does not open the others. Polymarket alone is still $29 a month.
How does the rank work?
Each name is last-ten form × the arm, then the park grows the bat. Weather and the posted or expected nine still have to show. Named arm is a condition. Projected scores and hit probabilities are ours — not a posted line.
Does the board change during the day?
Yes. Once a game starts, remaining names are rebuilt so you are not looking at someone who already came out of the box. Finals drop off the live ranks. Yesterday’s scores sit on the tape.
Is this a sportsbook line?
No. We do not start from a posted hit, HR, or K number. The Grid writes the name. The book is a different product.
Where are the ranked names?
On the member Grid. This page is how the model works. Access is $10 a week through the World Series and also opens college baseball.
Not affiliated with Major League Baseball or its clubs.