Week 4 · 2026 · closed
The tape.
Week 4 is closed. Falcons 45, Saints 24. The card was New Orleans 24, Atlanta 21. The side missed. Bijan was 19-145-2. Penix was 15-of-20 for 223. The dome was 69 points. Weeks 1, 2, 3 stay in the ledger. Nothing gets thrown out. Week 6 is closed: Washington +7.5 cashed, 23–17. Thursday of that week was Broncos 17, Seahawks 14. Nix at 107 is the miss. Week 7 is the tape. Cowboys 38, Eagles 21. −4.5 cashed. The 23–16 missed. Thursday of this week is final. Packers 27, Panthers 19. −3.5 cashed. The 70 missed. Nothing is 56.
2 hits · 5 misses
Misses
Week 4. Lead with what went wrong.
Miss
A line tax is not a cap
Both Jenkins were out. Under 219.5 missed at 268. Thursday was 51 points, not 37. Boswell was 1-of-2. Szmyt was 2-of-2. When the arm is live, the under and the kicker are not the first tickets.
Miss
Six Sunday sides missed
Colts 30–13. Patriots 29–26. Jaguars 22–17. Giants 36–24. Cowboys 34–30. Panthers 32–26. Washington, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Arizona, Houston, and Detroit were the leans. A one-score home lean is not a law. The roof in Houston was not a cap.
Miss
Gibbs over 64.5 missed at 46
Panthers 32, Lions 26. Goff was 32-of-52 for 412. The passing over cashed. Gibbs was 15-46. The rushing over missed. A live arm is not the back.
Miss
New Orleans 24–21 missed at 45–24
Falcons 45, Saints 24. The home number was 24 and it was not the winner. Sunday night did not flip the side. Monday did. A one-score dome lean is not a law.
Miss
Penix over 229.5 missed at 223
15-of-20, 223, one score. The over missed by a first down. The side still went to 45. The arm is not the score when the backs are.
Hits
Hit
Rams 24, Eagles 20
The card was 24–20. The side cashed and the number cashed. Eight Sunday sides hit. Packers 17–14 was not 70. Vikings 15–10 with Jefferson out. Not a smash.
Hit
Bijan over 79.5
19-145 and two scores, one from 59. The over cashed. 145 is not the law. Brian Robinson scored three times. The Falcons rushed for 205. The back who was priced was not the only one.
Rules we carry
Into Sunday. Conditions, not laws. A 56 requires a confirmed absence. The other sides are leans.
- 01
The lines moved
Mahomes is 249.5 after 246, not 274.5. Hurts is 214.5 after 153. Walker is 64.5 after 70 on 18 carries. Gibbs is over 64.5 after 99. Chase is over 64.5 after 98. Darnold is over 249.5 after 379. A miss moves the number. It does not delete the name.
- 02
No line for a man we will not name
Williams is out and the report does not pick the quarterback. Hall is out. Achane is out for the year. Charbonnet is still out. No invented back and no Bears passing line. Mayfield is out. Jalon Daniels has no line. 0-for-3 is not a number. Not 70.
- 03
The path moved Sunday
Daniels is out. Mariota starts. London is Washington 23, Indianapolis 20. Not 70. No yardage law. Jets–Bears is 24–21. Miami is 17. The Chargers are 20. Arizona is 23. Jefferson was a DNP, not an out, until Saturday.
- 04
The Saturday window shut
4:00 p.m. ET. Jefferson is out. Addison is the if. Collins is not on the report, so he plays, under 64.5, not 90. Puka has no designation. A snap count is not 64.5 as a law. Adams stays the stack. Daniels and Mayfield were already out.
Monday night · final
Bills 37, Rams 34
Overtime. The side was Buffalo, 52. It cashed. The card was 27–24. Allen was 12-of-19 for 210 and ran for 121 and a score. Cook was 25-111 and two scores. Stafford was 40-of-54 for 383 and three scores. The passing over missed. The under missed.
Stored weeks: W1 · W2 · W3 · W4 · W5 · W7 · W8.
Daily tape
- Friday · Chicago −3 cashed. The sheet did not.
- Friday · four prices. Not twenty.
- Thursday · Denver cashed. Nix did not.
- Fantasy · the captain was right. The bring-back was not.
- Tuesday · Buffalo cashed. The 27–24 did not.
- Monday · Atlanta’s 56 missed. Jacksonville cashed by two.
- Friday · Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 16.
Questions
Is there one price for every grid?
Yes. The house is $149 a month and it opens every grid, including college and Polymarket. The posted price moves to $199 a month as the desks keep getting built. A house started at $149 stays at $149 while that PayPal stays on. It is one month at a time. A single sport is still $10 a week and does not open the others. Polymarket alone is still $29 a month.
Do you bury misses?
No. Week 1 Chase missed. Mahomes started and the Chiefs won 31–10. Walker was the smash. The miss stays on the tape.
Does the tape change the next week?
Yes. Rules carry as conditions, not laws: the TE is the collision IF they take the WR1, active is not volume, the field is a condition, shade the smash not the name. Grade winner, total, and break separately. A 3-point card is not a break. Afternoon first ticket is the break. Night is Prime Time.